The effect of European and global uncertainty on stock returns of travel and leisure companies

Oguz Ersan, Sagi Akron, Ender Demir

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This article aims to evaluate the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the STOXX Europe 600 Travel & Leisure Price Index by utilizing a monthly data set for 20 years through 1997–2016. It is found that both the European and the global EPU have significant negative effects on the stock returns of travel and leisure companies. We demonstrate the significantly superior forecasting power of EPU measures on tourism and leisure stock returns, relative to a rather weak forecasting power of various macroeconomic variables.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)51-66
Number of pages16
JournalTourism Economics
Volume25
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Feb 2019

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2018.

Keywords

  • European economic policy uncertainty
  • STOXX Europe 600 Travel & Lisure price index
  • economic policy uncertainty
  • global economic policy uncertainty
  • return

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'The effect of European and global uncertainty on stock returns of travel and leisure companies'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this