Tell Me Why I Do Not Like Mondays

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We conduct a strict and broad analysis of the 30-day expected volatility (VIX) of five very active individual US stocks, three US domestic indices, and that of 10-year US Treasury notes. We find prominent non-random movement patterns mainly on Mondays and Fridays. Furthermore, significant leaps in expected volatility on Monday occur primarily in the first two and the fifth Mondays of the month. We also document that higher values for the 30-day expected volatility on Mondays are more likely when there was a negative change in the volatility on the preceding Fridays. This pattern does not occur on other subsequent days of the week. The results are robust through time and different subsamples and are not triggered by outliers or the week during which the options on the underlying assets expire. Rational and irrational drivers are suggested to explain the findings. Given that, to date, no one has conducted such an examination, our findings are important for investors interested in buying or selling volatility instruments.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1850
JournalMathematics
Volume10
Issue number11
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Jun 2022

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.

Keywords

  • Monday effect
  • Monday of the month
  • VIX
  • perceived volatility
  • weekend effect

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Computer Science (miscellaneous)
  • General Mathematics
  • Engineering (miscellaneous)

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