Social indicators and crime rate forecasting

Arye Rattner

doi:10.1007/BF00286392

Social indicators and crime rate forecasting

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

This paper presents an attempt to use macrodynamic social indicators in a time series analysis of three crime categories-homicide; property and; robbery offenses in Israel. Earlier findings such as the relationship between homicide and unemployment, and density of population and property offenses are confirmed by the analysis. The models that are constructed are used later for forecasting and yield a satisfactory performance of at least two of the crime models.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	83-95
Number of pages	13
Journal	Social Indicators Research
Volume	22
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00286392
State	Published - Feb 1990
Externally published	Yes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Developmental and Educational Psychology
Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous)
Sociology and Political Science
General Social Sciences

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1007/BF00286392

Cite this

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title = "Social indicators and crime rate forecasting",

abstract = "This paper presents an attempt to use macrodynamic social indicators in a time series analysis of three crime categories-homicide; property and; robbery offenses in Israel. Earlier findings such as the relationship between homicide and unemployment, and density of population and property offenses are confirmed by the analysis. The models that are constructed are used later for forecasting and yield a satisfactory performance of at least two of the crime models.",

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year = "1990",

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AB - This paper presents an attempt to use macrodynamic social indicators in a time series analysis of three crime categories-homicide; property and; robbery offenses in Israel. Earlier findings such as the relationship between homicide and unemployment, and density of population and property offenses are confirmed by the analysis. The models that are constructed are used later for forecasting and yield a satisfactory performance of at least two of the crime models.

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Social indicators and crime rate forecasting

Abstract

ASJC Scopus subject areas

UN SDGs

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