Social indicators and crime rate forecasting

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


This paper presents an attempt to use macrodynamic social indicators in a time series analysis of three crime categories-homicide; property and; robbery offenses in Israel. Earlier findings such as the relationship between homicide and unemployment, and density of population and property offenses are confirmed by the analysis. The models that are constructed are used later for forecasting and yield a satisfactory performance of at least two of the crime models.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)83-95
Number of pages13
JournalSocial Indicators Research
Issue number1
StatePublished - Feb 1990
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Developmental and Educational Psychology
  • Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous)
  • Sociology and Political Science
  • General Social Sciences


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