Abstract
We develop a model of optimal reserve holdings where the reserve authority controls the upward and downward drift of international reserves and chooses the trigger points that induce changes in drift. We argue that this drift control model better describes the dynamic behavior of reserves than does the popular buffer stock model. We present an innovative mathematical tool for analyzing the drift control based on martingale stopping theory. Since the reserve authority has more instruments with drift control than with a buffer-stock strategy, it can manage reserves at significantly lower cost.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Pages (from-to) | 3110-3137 |
Number of pages | 28 |
Journal | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control |
Volume | 31 |
Issue number | 9 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Sep 2007 |
Keywords
- Drift control
- International reserves
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Economics and Econometrics
- Control and Optimization
- Applied Mathematics