Cyberattacks, Psychological Distress, and Military Escalation: An Internal Meta-Analysis

Ryan Shandler, Michael L. Gross, Daphna Canetti

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


To what extent can cyberattacks wreak havoc and terrorize modern society? Until now, this question has revolved around the potential of cyber operations to cause physical destruction or other material harm. In this paper, we propose a broader interpretation. We submit that assessing cyber-threats through the prism of physical destruction has obscured the human dimension of the threat. Instead, we propose calculating the gravity of cyberattacks by measuring psychological distress. This approach recognizes that even seemingly inconsequential cyberattacks can levy tremendous damage by traumatizing civilians, undermining societal cohesion, and exacerbating cycles of violence. To test whether cyberattacks cause significant individual harm, we employ an internal meta-analysis looking at eighteen studies conducted in three countries over 6 years. Across these studies, we exposed 6,020 respondents to simulated cyberattacks and conventional attacks. We conclude that cyberattacks can cause high levels of psychological harm—equal even to that caused by conventional political violence and terrorism. This finding overturns a widely accepted view that cyberattacks are a mere irritant at best and a threat to information security at worst. Through this lens, the findings suggest that even nonphysically destructive cyberattacks can trigger consequences that constitute a legally defined armed attack that permits using armed force in self-defense. We conclude by discussing how the onset of psychological distress generates political pressure in support of retaliation and can lead to military escalation.

Original languageEnglish
Article numberogac042
JournalJournal of Global Security Studies
Issue number1
StatePublished - 1 Mar 2023

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
The authors gratefully acknowledge the valuable feedback offered by Sophia Backhaus, Amélie Godefroidt, Miguel Gomez, Iris Lavi, and Rose McDermott. The paper benefited greatly from comments offered at a 2021 workshop on the Moral Psychology of War hosted by the Oxford Institute for Ethics, Law, and Armed Conflict. We deeply appreciate the input of the Journal of Global Security Studies editorial team and reviewers. Our heartfelt thanks to all members of the Political Psychology Lab who supported the studies reported in this paper. This work was supported by the Israel Science Foundation (DC, 594/15; MG, 156/14), the US-Israel Binational Science Foundation (2009460), and the Center for Cyber Law & Policy at the University of Haifa.

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) (2023). Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Studies Association.


  • cyber-conflict
  • cyberattacks
  • emotional distress
  • exposure to terrorism
  • internal meta-analysis
  • psychological distress

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Safety Research
  • Political Science and International Relations


Dive into the research topics of 'Cyberattacks, Psychological Distress, and Military Escalation: An Internal Meta-Analysis'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this